Keyword Analysis & Research: conformal probability
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A Gentle Introduction to Conformal Prediction and …
https://arxiv.org/pdf/2107.07511.pdf
Although any conformal procedure yields prediction intervals that satisfy (1), there are many such procedures, and they di er in other important ways. In particular, a key design consideration for conformal prediction is adaptivity: we want the procedure to return larger sets for harder inputs and smaller sets for easier … See more
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Conformal Prediction - University of California, Berkeley
https://www.stat.berkeley.edu/~ryantibs/statlearn-s23/lectures/conformal.pdf
WEBInthisway,wecanalsoseethesolutionhereassimplytotakingthesamplequantileatanadjustedlevel: weused(1 )(n+1)e=n,insteadof1 ,whichisasortoffinite-samplecorrection.
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A Tutorial on Conformal Prediction - Journal of Machine …
https://jmlr.csail.mit.edu/papers/volume9/shafer08a/shafer08a.pdf
WEBConformal prediction uses past experience to determine precise levels of confidence in new pre-dictions. Given an error probability ε, together with a method that makes a … File Size: 746KB Page Count: 51
File Size: 746KB
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Conformal Prediction for Machine Learning Classification —From …
https://towardsdatascience.com/conformal-prediction-for-machine-learning-classification-from-the-ground-up-a12fcf6860d0
WEBNov 24, 2023 · Conformal prediction specifies a coverage, which specifies the probability that the true outcome is covered by the prediction region. The interpretation of …
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Conformal prediction - Wikipedia
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Conformal_prediction
OverviewHistoryTheoryApplicationsConferencesSee alsoExternal linksConformal prediction (CP) is a machine learning framework for uncertainty quantification that produces statistically valid prediction regions (prediction intervals) for any underlying point predictor (whether statistical, machine, or deep learning) only assuming exchangeability of the data. CP works by computing nonconformity scores on previously labeled data, and using these to create prediction sets on a new (unlabeled) test data point. A transductive version of CP was fir…
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[2107.07511] A Gentle Introduction to Conformal Prediction and
https://arxiv.org/abs/2107.07511
WEBJul 15, 2021 · Conformal prediction is a user-friendly paradigm for creating statistically rigorous uncertainty sets/intervals for the predictions of such models. Critically, the sets …
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Introduction to conformal predictors - ScienceDirect
https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S003132032100683X
WEBApr 1, 2022 · Conformal Predictors [1] convey this information in a novel way. They offer a principled, efficient, and flexible way to obtain predictions that guarantee a given error …
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Conformal Prediction: General Case and Regression
https://link.springer.com/chapter/10.1007/978-3-031-06649-8_2
WEBAug 17, 2022 · Conformal Prediction: General Case and Regression. Vladimir Vovk, Alexander Gammerman & Glenn Shafer. Chapter. First Online: 17 August 2022. 1213 …
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